Recession Indicators
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Recession Indicators
FEDFUNDS、REAL GDP YoY%、SPX
Recession Probability NYFED
CFNAI Based Recession Indicator
Misery Index US
Unemployment Rate as a US Recession Indicator
Full Time Employees
Job Losers Ratio ; Job Losers / (Job Losers + Job Leavers)
Temporary Help Services
JOLTS Quit Rate
REAL GDP & T-Bond 10-Year Minus 3-Month Yield Spread, Offset 15Months Forward
10Y-3M spreads and corporate profits
10Y-3M spreads and SPX EPS
UST Yield Curve (2s10s with a two year lag), VIX
HYG (Junk Bond) / IEI (UST 5Y) Ratio
Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices
U.S. Heavy Weight Trucks Sales, Recession
LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS (PRIVATE VERSION)
LEI, Hard Data, SPX
U.S. Business Cycle (PRIVATE Ver.), REAL GDP
U.S. Business Cycle and Seven Elements
ITバブル崩壊、世界金融危機とファンダメンタルズデータ
SPX 配当割引モデルによる理論株価
三指数と週足200MA
米国GDPサイクル
内閣府景気動向指数DIベースリセッションインジケーター
過去のリセッションチャート
大恐慌 EMA BASE RAINBOW
大恐慌 HMA BASE RAINBOW
大恐慌 HMA CURVE
世界金融危機（リーマンショック 日足 & TOPICS）
世界金融危機 BOLLINGER & MAC-D
世界金融危機 RAINBOW
世界金融危機 HMA CURVE
鉱工業生産と大恐慌
BLACK MONDAY BOLLINGER & MAC-D
BLACK MONDAY RAINBOW
BLACK MONDAY HMA CURVE
COVID-19 SHOCK HMA CURVE
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